Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll

Democrats' midterm advantage narrows in new poll

A Washington Post-ABC News poll released Monday showed a nationwide tightening for Democrats in a generic congressional ballot among registered voters, down to an advantage of 4 percentage points at 47%. "I'm choosing to invest it to fight the administration's flawed policies and to elect Democrats to the Senate and House of Representatives". It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points for the full sample and 3.9 percentage points for registered voters.

The poll surveyed 703 new-jersey adults by telephone April 610, 6 32 of whom are registered Republicans. In January, the last time that poll was taken, Democratic candidates enjoyed a 12-point edge.

Four of the five GOP-held seats are CNN Key Races, with one listed in the leaning Democratic category, two as toss-ups and one as likely Republican.

The survey shows the GOP making a more pronounced shift among white voters, who now prefer Republicans by a 14-point margin over Democrats, up from five points in January.

The Democrats held a 21-point edge in the seven districts they now hold, compared with 26 percent in the 2014 midterm elections.

The incident resulted in gun control advocates haranguing both parties about rules tackling the issue.

The leading reason for the poor showing of Republicans in the poll is disapproval of President Donald Trump, followed by the recently enacted tax reform law, which most state residents say hurts them. More than 6 in 10 voters, 61 percent, disapproved of the job he was doing as president, compared with 35 percent who viewed his performance positively. While Trump's approval rating ticked up from 36% in January, his majority disapproval rating remains historically high for a president in their second year in office.

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Enthusiasm is also shifting.

A 10-point Democratic lead among all adults narrows to 4 points among registered voters and 5 points among those who say they're both registered and certain to vote; neither of those is statistically significant.

In the past two House elections, these five districts were solidly red, averaging a 22-point advantage for Republicans. Republican lawmakers in the state are using the law, which was passed in June 2017, to generate excitement among GOP votes.

Almost 58 percent of voters oppose the tax increase, including 39 percent who say they strongly reject the legislation, according to a survey the University of California, Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies conducted shortly after the measure passed.

On one hand, there are more who emphasize new gun laws; on the other, those focused on protecting gun rights are more likely to say it's "extremely" important to them to back a candidate who agrees with them, 49 vs. 40 percent among registered voters.

Opposition against the measure is widespread.

Other public polls have found a narrowing in Democrats' midterm advantage, although it has been less sharp than in the Post-ABC poll.

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